What Is A Qualifying Offer In Baseball

Qualifying Offer

Qualification offer (also known as a qualifying offer) is a competitive balancing mechanism that was first adopted as part of the 2012-16 Collective Bargaining Agreement and then reorganized as part of the 2017-21 Collective Bargaining Agreement. Observe that starting with the 2017 and 2018 seasons, teams were subject to the following criteria. Clubs desiring to acquire compensatory Draft selections for the loss of a free agent can make a one-year “qualifying offer” to their approaching free agents, worth the mean pay of MLB’s 125 highest-paid players, prior to the start of free agency if and only if the following conditions are met: 1.


After receiving a qualifying offer, a player will have 10 days to accept or refuse it.

After accepting the qualifying offer, players are contracted for the next year at the fixed rate (which is equal to the mean wage of each of the league’s top 125 earners at the time of their acceptance.) If a player rejects the qualifying offer, he has the option to further explore his options on the open market as a free agent.

  1. A selection from either the first round or Competitive Balance Round A of the 2022 Major League Baseball Draft will be awarded to the team that loses the free agent, based on the team’s revenues and market size.
  2. If the player agrees to a contract worth less than $50 million, the compensation pick for those clubs would be made after Competitive Balance Round B, which occurs immediately after the second round.
  3. The compensation pick will be awarded after Competitive Balance Round B if the team that loses the player does not get revenue sharing and did not exceed the luxury-tax salary threshold the season before the player’s departure was announced.
  4. The following 15 clubs are included in this category: the Angels, Astros, Athletics, Blue Jays, Braves, Cardinals, Cubs, Giants, Mets, Nationals, Phillies, Rangers, Red Sox, White Sox, and Yankees, to name a few.
  5. The Dodgers and the Padres were the only teams to surpass the mark in 2021.
  6. If a club with the worst record in Major League Baseball and a team with a.500 record both lose a free agent who receives a contract worth more than $50 million, the team with the worst record will receive the highest of the two compensatory draft selections available.
  7. In the year after the rejection of their qualifying offer, players who remain unsigned after the commencement of the Rule 4 Draft are no longer subject to Draft pick compensation and can be signed by a new team without the new club having to lose a Draft selection.

Three layers of Draft pick forfeiture are in place to act as a penalty for signing a player who has rejected a qualifying offer, with the severity of the penalty dependant on the financial situation of the signing team: A club that has surpassed the luxury tax threshold in the previous season would forfeit its second- and fifth-round draft picks in the next year’s Draft, as well as $1 million from its international bonus pool for the subsequent signing period, among other penalties.

  • It will also forfeit its third and sixth highest remaining draft selections if it signs several qualifying offer free agents in a single season.
  • In the 2022 Rule 4 Draft, a club with a pick in each round would forfeit its second- and fifth-round picks if the team had one pick in each round.
  • Each year, the club that receives revenue-sharing money loses its right to choose first or second overall in the next year’s Draft.
  • The following teams are included in this group: the Brewers, the Indians, the D-backs, the Mariners, the Marlins, the Orioles, the Pirates, the Rays, the Reds, the Rockies, the Royals, the Tigers, and the Twins.
  • A club that has two first-round picks and one pick in each subsequent round would lose their second-round pick if they were to lose both first-round picks.
  • If one of these clubs signs two of these players, it will forfeit its third-highest remaining draft selection as well as an extra $500,000 in compensation for their efforts.
  • A club with two first-round choices would lose its second-highest first-round pick if the team had two first-round picks.
  • Whenever a club forfeits a Draft selection, it also forfeits the bonus pool money connected with that pick.
  • A team that signed a player who had previously rejected a qualifying offer was required to sacrifice its best unprotected selection in the future Rule 4 Draft – any pick that did not rank among the top 10 – in order to participate in the Rule 4 Draft.
  • If a team signed more than one player who had previously refused a qualifying offer, it was required to lose its best and second-best unprotected draft selections in the subsequent round.

Arbitration compensation choices were granted after the natural first round of the Draft, but before Competitive Balance Round A of the competition.

The qualifying offer rules, explained

Anyone who follows their favorite team may understand and appreciate the excitement that comes with a significant offseason acquisition for his or her squad. However, there are times when it appears as though you need a degree in contract law to fully comprehend the ins and outs of baseball’s Collective Bargaining Agreement, particularly when it comes to free agents, qualifying offers, and compensation for draft picks. Here’s a helpful FAQ to assist you in understanding the new guidelines and how they relate to your situation.

  1. Only those who decline their club’s one-year qualifying offer will be eligible for compensation in this situation.
  2. Players then have 10 days to accept or refuse the offer, during which time they may engage in further negotiations with other teams.
  3. In the previous offseason, it was $17.4 million, and it will be $17.9 million this time around.
  4. Are there any specific players that are eligible for the qualifying offer?
  5. A.

Have spent the whole season on the roster of the team that extended the qualifying offer (so in-season acquisitions are ineligible) The “A” stipulation in this case applies to a number of free agents this winter, the most notable of whom isNelson Cruz Manny Machado and Cole Hamels are examples of players that fall under the “B” criteria.

  • So, who may be in line for a QO this year?
  • Craig Kimbrel, among others, would be considered plausible.
  • There were some difficult options to make with Charlie Morton, A.J.
  • What type of compensatory pick will a team receive if it loses a player of this caliber?
  • Under the previous collective bargaining agreement, if a club extended a qualifying offer to a player who later signed with another team, the franchise would be awarded a supplementary first-round draft selection (right after the end of the first round).

Currently, if the team that loses the free agent is a revenue-sharing recipient, which is determined by the team’s revenues and market size, then the selection -if and only if the lost player signs for at least $50 million- will be awarded a pick between the first round and Competitive Balance Round A of the 2019 Major League Baseball Draft.

  • There are presently 16 clubs that are eligible for these selections: The A’s, Braves, Brewers, D-backs, Indians, Mariners, Marlins, Orioles, Padres, Pirates, Rays, Reds, Rockies, Royals, Tigers, and Twins are among the teams that compete in the American League.
  • There is no significance to the contract worth of the player in this situation.
  • If the team that loses the player goes over the luxury-tax threshold, the compensation selection will be put after the fourth round has been finished (like in the previous scenario, it does not matter how much the player signed for at the time of his or her departure).
  • Keep in mind that these club classifications can vary from season to season (for example, the Astros and Tigers exchanged positions in the revenue-sharing payor/payee designations this season, while the Dodgers, Giants, and Yankees all fell below the luxury tax threshold this season).

According to a general rule of thumb, draft-pick compensation is divided as follows: * General rule: Compensation is awarded following Comp Round B. (in pick 75-80 range)

  • If the team paid the luxury tax, compensation would be paid after the fourth round (mid-100s)
  • If the team got revenue sharing AND a free agent signed for more than $50 million, compensation would be paid after the first round (low-to-mid-100s). Is it still possible to be penalized for signing players who have previously rejected qualifying offers? Yes. Any club that contracts a player who has previously rejected a qualifying offer may be susceptible to the forfeiture of one or more Draft selections in the next year’s Draft. The most significant change brought about by the new system is that the top first-round selection of a club is free from forfeiture. This is the most significant change brought about by the new system. Three stages of Draft-pick forfeiture are in place to act as a penalty for signing a player who has refused a qualifying offer. The tiers are determined by the financial condition of the signing team and are as follows: A club that has surpassed the luxury tax threshold in the previous season would forfeit its second- and fifth-round draft picks in the next year’s Draft, as well as $1 million from its international bonus pool for the subsequent signing period, among other penalties. It will also forfeit its third and sixth highest remaining draft selections if it signs several qualifying offer free agents in a single season. For example, a team with a pick in each round of the 2019 Draft would lose its second- and fifth-round picks if they were selected in the second and fifth rounds, respectively. In the case of a club with two first-round selections and one selection in each subsequent round, the team would forfeit its second-highest selection in the first round as well as its fourth-round selection. Teams that receive revenue sharing will forfeit their third-highest selection in the next year’s Draft if they do not meet the requirements. The team will also lose its fourth-highest remaining draft selection if it signs two such players in a row. For example, a team with a selection in each round of the 2019 Draft would lose its third-round pick if it had one pick in each round of the 2019 Draft. A club that has two first-round picks and one pick in each subsequent round would lose their second-round pick if they were to lose both first-round picks. In the event that a club does not earn revenue sharing and does not exceed the luxury tax threshold in the previous season, it will forfeit its second-highest selection in the next year’s Draft as well as $500,000 from its international bonus pool for the forthcoming signing period. If it signs two of these players, it will forfeit its third-highest remaining draft selection as well as an extra $500,000 in compensation. For example, a team with a pick in each round of the 2019 Draft would lose its second-round pick if it had a pick in the first round. A club with two first-round choices would lose its second-highest first-round pick if the team had two first-round picks.

MLB qualifying offer: Breaking down candidates, including Clayton Kershaw and Justin Verlander

The 2021 World Series has concluded, and the offseason for the 2021-22 season has already begun. More than 100 players were released from their contracts. Teams will have to make judgments on contract options and qualifying offers as early as Wednesday morning, and they will have to make those decisions quickly. Listed below is a comprehensive list of all of the significant upcoming offseason dates. Teams that make a qualifying offer are eligible to get draft choice compensation if they lose a free agent to another club during the season.

  1. It was signed over the offseason.
  2. According to the MLBPlayers Association, this will not sit well with them.
  3. 7), and players who receive them have ten days to accept or reject them (decisions due Nov.
  4. Players that accept the QO remain with their team, whilst players who reject it are tied to the team’s compensation for the draft selection.
  5. Although the process is transparent, the decisions are not.
  6. To get us started, here are the draft pick compensation guidelines that will be used.
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Compensation rules

Before the advent of the compensatory draft selection, clubs who lost an eligible free agent earned a compensation draft pick that was placed after the first round. It was a pleasant and simple process. The present regulations are a little more difficult to understand. The following are the compensation guidelines for teams who lose a free agent who refused to sign the QO:

  • Draft choice after competitive balance round B (before the third round) who signs a deal for less than $50 million: A player signs a deal for more than $50 million: He was drafted in the second round following the first round. The former team pays the luxury tax: a draft selection after the fourth round, regardless of the value of the contract

In addition, the Dodgers and the Padres were the only clubs to surpass the $210 million luxury tax threshold this season, which means they are the only teams that have to be concerned about the last bullet point in that section. In order to acquire the greatest potential compensatory draft selection, every other club must hope that their eligible free agent signs a contract for more than $50 million. The following are the ramifications of signing a free agent who has refused the QO:

  • The signing team had to pay the luxury tax, which included forfeiting the second and fifth best draft selections, as well as $1 million in international bonus money. The following revenue sharing funds were awarded to the signing team: The third-highest draft pick is forfeited. All other teams will forfeit their second-highest draft selection as well as $500,000 in international bonus money.

In addition to paying luxury tax, only the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres are the only two clubs who must deal with the first bullet point. These teams got revenue sharing this season: theBrewers, the Diamondbacks, the Giants, the Marlin’s, the Mariners’, the Oriole’s, the Pirate’s, the Rays, the Reds, the Rockies, the Royals, the Tiger’s, and the Twin’s. The third bullet point is comprised of every other team. In recent years, we’ve witnessed a number of athletes who have been harmed by the QO.

As a result, they were unable to find new employment until June 2019, after the draft and after the draft pick compensation had been eliminated.

That hasn’t happened subsequently, but it remains a source of concern.

Teams do not earn or lose selections as a result of re-signing a qualifying free agent on their own roster.

Not eligible for QO

QO eligibility is determined by whether or not the player spent the whole 2021 season with his or her team and whether or not they have previously gotten the QO. As a result, a not insignificant number of high-profile free agents will be ineligible for the QO during the upcoming transfer season. Here are some of the most notable:

  • Javier Báez, Kris Bryant, Nelson Cruz, Danny Duffy, Eduardo Escobar, Kendall Graveman, Starling Marte, Anthony Rizzo, Max Scherzer, and Kyle Schwarber were all traded during the season. Alex Cobb, Kevin Gausman, Zack Greinke, Kenley Jansen, and Marcus Stroman were the previous QOs.

Cruz and Scherzer, on the other hand, fall into both groups. They were acquired in the middle of the season, and they had previously obtained the QO (Scherzer by the Tigers and Cruz by the Orioles, both in 2014). That, on the other hand, means absolutely nothing. As long as they remain ineligible for the QO throughout the offseason, they won’t have that burden hanging over their heads. At the deadline, the Cubs dealt Báez, Bryant, and Rizzo for a total of five prospects, including outfielder Pete Crow-Armstrong, who will be the No.

That’s a far bigger haul than what Chicago would have gotten if they had maintained all three players, given them the QO this offseason, and obtained a few of draft selections instead.

Locks to get QO

Carlos Correa, Freddie Freeman, Robbie Ray, Corey Seager, Marcus Semien, and Trevor Story are among the players that are a lock to get the QO, according to my calculations. Expect all six to reject the QO in order to secure a greater payoff in the future (all six could sign a nine-figure contract this offseason). Accepting the QO for $18.4 million will not be a real consideration for the company. In order to save money over the offseason, the Athletics did not tender Semien (norLiam Hendriks) the QO last winter, which was a boon for Toronto.

The Blue Jays have done some excellent work here.

It should be emphasized that players who agree to the QO will not be able to be traded until June 15, unless they provide their agreement.

They would have to wait until the next summer.

Likely to receive QO

I wouldn’t go so far as to say that these players are guaranteed to earn the QO, however I believe it is more probable than not that they will do so: Michael Conforto, Jon Gray, Clayton Kershaw, Carlos Rodón, Eduardo Rodriguez, Noah Syndergaard, Chris Taylor, and Justin Verlander are some of the best pitchers in the game now. Kershaw, Syndergaard, and Verlander were all out for significant periods of time or the whole season due to elbow injuries. Verlander has not thrown since Opening Day 2020, and he will be 39 years old in February, but the Astros are the only ones who are familiar with him.

  • If they fail to meet the QO, this is a major red signal.
  • Conforto lost time in the middle of the season due to a hamstring injury, and he had a bad year overall.
  • The fact that he threw 99 mph in the ALDS is a positive indication, despite his extensive injury history.
  • He may consent to a delay in the QO deadline if he does so before the deadline.
  • The 4.47 earned run average is unattractive, but the underlying metrics (3.32 FIP, 3.55 xERA, 4.18 DRA) indicate that he pitched considerably better than the figure would lead you to assume (see below).
  • The question is whether or not the Dodgers are comfortable taking a chance with $18.4 million in their bank account.
  • However, as previously said, if they receive a QO, it indicates that their team is satisfied with their overall health.

A red flag should be raised if they don’t. That indicates that something is wrong. Based on what we already know, I believe all eight players will receive a QO. If they accept, their teams would not be disappointed in signing them to a one-year, $18.4 million contract.

Opt-out clauses

Three 2021 All-Stars have the option to opt out of their contracts and become free agents this offseason, and if they do so, they will be considered for the QO award if they are selected. The three players are as follows:

  • Nolan Arenado, Colorado Rockies: He has six years and $164 million left on his deal. On Nick Castellanos’ deal, the Reds have two years and $34 million left to play. JD Martinez, Red Sox: He has one year and $19.375 million left on his deal.

Arenado has stated that he would not opt out of his deal, but even if he did, he would not walk away from $164 million in guaranteed money just to return and take the one-year, $18.4 million qualifying offer. Of course, the Cardinals would promote him to the position of QO. The Reds and Castellanos, who will allegedly opt out of his contract (although he hasn’t done so formally yet), and the Red Sox and Martinez are both in the same boat. If these players choose not to participate, they will receive a QO with no questions asked.

The previous two years have been excellent, and he would have been a QO contender had he taken advantage of the option to opt out of his contract and walked away from the one year and $15 million guaranteed that remained on his deal.

On the fence

There are five guys that I believe have a chance to win the QO in either direction. Two of them are members of the team that finished with the best record in baseball during the regular season: Brandon Belt, Anthony DeSclafani,Raisel Iglesias,Yusei Kikuchi, and Steven Matz. The other two are members of the team that finished with the best record in baseball during the regular season: The Giants signed Brandon Crawford to a reasonable two-year, $32 million contract extension a few weeks ago, and it appears like a similar agreement may be reached for Belt as well.

  • I anticipate him to sign an extension, but if Belt goes on the market, I believe the Giants will be able to get him on the dotted line.
  • In addition to cutting Gausman’s, Johnny Cueto’s, and Buster Posey’s contracts, the Giants have a large amount of money coming off their books, which allows them to afford to bring DeSclafani back on a high-priced one-year contract.
  • With a 3.82 earned run average in 150 2/3 innings pitched against three different 90-win clubs in the National League in 2021, Matz had what was perhaps the finest season of his career.
  • Nonetheless, I believe Matz is still young (30) and talented enough to accept the QO and refuse it.
  • Since the QO was established in 2012, just seven real relievers have gotten it: Kenley Jansen, Craig Kimbrel, Wade Davis, Greg Holland, David Robertson, Will Smith, and Rafael Soriano.
  • With the exception of Smith, every reliever refused the QO.
  • Since 2017, Kimbrel and Smith have been the only relievers to get the Quality Start award.

I’m at a loss when it comes to Iglesias.

When the deadline came along, the Angels didn’t move him, and I don’t believe they would have kept him if they hadn’t been ready to submit the QO and take the draft selection in exchange.

My current best estimate – and I repeat that this is only a best guess – is that Iglesias will receive a QO.

He then went on to pitch so badly down the stretch that he was forced to be removed from the starting rotation.

He had already opted out of his one-year player option for $13 million, which he received in the offseason.

That will, without a doubt, be declined.

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Is it possible that he would walk away from $13 million if he also walked away from $18.4 million?

Remember that the payoff is most likely merely a draft selection in the third round or later.


I’d be astonished if they got a QO in this situation. Charlie Morton, like Crawford, just inked a contract extension that effectively takes him off the market. The same could be said for Lance Lynn, despite the fact that he had previously earned a QO and would have been ineligible for one this year.

The Qualifying Offer in Baseball: its intent and consequences

Major League Baseball and the MLB Players Association reached an agreement in 2012 on a new structure for draft pick compensation in the context of free agency. As a result, the qualifying offer was established as part of the Collective Bargaining Agreement for the period 2012-2016. The system itself is rather straightforward. To be eligible for compensation for the loss of a free agent, the team must make a qualifying offer to the player within five days of the conclusion of the World Series.

  • A qualifying offer has never been extended to the player. The player was a member of that team’s roster for the whole previous season

If the player accepts the offer, he has basically agreed to a 1-year contract at the rate in effect for that year. He will become a free agent if he does not accept the offer, and he will be eligible to receive draft pick compensation. This implies that his new club will forfeit a draft selection (which pick is decided by a variety of circumstances like as revenue sharing, luxury tax status, and so on) and that his prior team will get a draft pick as compensation from his new team. (That choice is chosen by all of the same considerations, but it also takes into consideration the size of the contract.) It’s a rather basic process.

  • But what have been the ramifications in the actual world?
  • For them, it is only a bureaucratic step in the free agency recruitment procedure.
  • When you’re signing a man to an 80, 100, 120, or 150 million dollar contract, losing a third round draft selection isn’t something that comes into consideration.
  • This year, Patrick Corbin and Bryce Harper are among the finest group of baseball players.
  • All are anticipated to sign lucrative contracts (Corbin has already signed one), and there has been no mention of the draft pick in any of the speculations surrounding them.
  • Yu Darvish, Eric Hosmer, Lorenzo Cain, Zack Greinke, Jason Heyward, Yoenis Cespedes, Hanley Ramirez, Pablo Sandoval, and a long list of other pitchers have been a part of this group in the past.
  • No, the genuine ramifications of the qualifying offer system have mostly been felt by free agents from the middle and lower classes.

AJ Pollock, Yasmani Grandal, and Dallas Keuchel are three of the finest pitchers in baseball this year, according to most experts.

Grandal had a fantastic regular season last year, but he struggled in the postseason.

Pollock is an offensive lineman who is on the wrong side of 30 and has a lengthy injury history.

They are excellent enough to command large contracts from prospective suitors, but there are enough questions marks surrounding them that those clubs worry if the money and the draft selection are really worth it in the long run.

A good-but-not-great athlete who began the offseason with the expectation of signing a contract for between $60 and $70 million.

Unfortunately for senior players, teams have understood how vital young, controlled individuals are to their organizations, and as a result, they have prioritized developing young, controllable players.

Alternatively, even if it is worthwhile, it is unlikely to be at the prices being demanded by the player.

It was marketed to the public by the owners as a mechanism to maintain a competitive balance in baseball, just like so many other rules.

Of course, the reality is that every team and every owner in baseball has the financial means to maintain a competitive payroll if they so want.

Teams determine their own budgets, and if those that do not wish to spend money on payroll find themselves at a competitive disadvantage, the onus is on them to make up the difference.

If you wish, you might refer to them as a solution without a problem.

As you may be aware, we have a draft bonus structure in place that limits the earning potential of your selections.

Minor leaguers are not compensated in any way.

That includes every step of a player’s professional career.

Isn’t it amazing that every time the owners pass a regulation to enhance “competitive balance,” a side consequence that always appears to be paying the players less appears to be paying the players less?

So, certainly, the qualifying offer system does what it was intended to accomplish.

However, it accomplishes more. It essentially provides business owners with a value-based justification for paying free agents less than they are actually worth. So, is the system up and running? It most likely depends on your point of view. Do you happen to be sitting in an owner’s box right now?

What is a Qualifying Offer in Baseball?

2 minutes is the estimated reading time. Especially when the MLB Offseason heats up, the phrase “Qualifying Offer” is likely to be thrown about quite a bit. What is a Qualifying Offer and how does it work? Although it appears to be hard, it is actually fairly easy. A Qualifying Offer (also known as a QO) is a one-year contract worth $18.9 million dollars that is made to players in the 2020 season. Not a terrible chunk of change, in my opinion. The majority of athletes who receive these offers, on the other hand, are searching for a longer deal with more money attached.

For some players, a QO is just not worth their time.

Qualifying Offers are a method of compensating a team for the loss of a projected free agent.

Marcus Stroman may earn a qualifying offer from the Mets, but he should be able to land a better deal elsewhere.

Here’s what MLB teams get if a player rejects a QO:

Teams that sign a qualifying free agent are eligible to get the following benefits: In the event that a club got revenue sharing the previous season, that team will forfeit its third-highest selection the following season. A second qualifying player would result in the loss of that team’s fourth-highest draft pick if they were signed. When it comes to signing a third, it will result in the loss of its fifth-highest draft pick. A club that did not get revenue sharing and also did not pay any luxury tax fines would forfeit its second-highest draft pick as well as $500K from the league’s allowed international bonus pool, according to the league’s rules.

A club that has paid luxury tax fines must forfeit its second- and fifth-round draft picks in the 2019 draft, as well as $1 million in foreign money, according to the league.

MLBTradeRumors.com For teams who lose eligible free agents, there are a few options.

If the club losing the free agent did not get revenue sharing or if the free agent in issue signed a contract worth less than $50MM in guaranteed money, the team losing the free agent will be granted a Round B draft selection.

If the club that loses the free agent incurred luxury tax fines in the season before, a post-Round 4 draft selection will be granted to the winning team.” MLBTradeRumors.com

Sounds simple? That’s because it is.

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Years of progress, as well as an insult from Major League Baseball’s Historian, prompted Justin to establish The Turf, a platform for expanding into all sectors of the athletic world.



Editor’s Picks

A large number of front offices are shifting their focus to the impending offseason now that the trade deadline has passed and the regular season has a little more than six weeks left to go. Numerous teams will make their first significant choice on whether or not to extend a qualifying offer to one or more of their top upcoming free agents in the coming weeks. For those who don’t remember, the qualifying offer is a one-year deal that teams may provide to select approaching free agents. The exact value of the QO has not yet been computed, but it is determined by taking the average pay of the game’s top 125 earners and dividing it by two.

  1. If the player accepts the offer, he will be assigned to his present team for the remainder of the season.
  2. This past season, six players (George Springer, Trevor Bauer, J.T.
  3. Gausman and Stroman agreed to the QO, but Realmuto and LeMahieu opted to remain with their present clubs rather than sign with other teams.
  4. It is against the collective bargaining agreement for a player to be tagged with a qualifying offer more than once throughout his or her professional career.
  5. A QO cannot be applied to players who have been moved in the middle of the season.
  6. Locks
  • Carlos Correa, Freddie Freeman, Clayton Kershaw, Robbie Ray, Carlos Rodón, Corey Seager, Marcus Semien, and Trevor Story are just a few of the players on the team.

Given the little likelihood that any of these players would take a qualifying offer, this group is quite uncomplicated. Correa, Seager, and Freeman all have MVP-caliber potential and are a lock to get long-term contracts this winter, according to Baseball America. Semiendid not get a qualifying offer from the A’s following a bad year in 2020, instead signing a new contract with the Jays for roughly the amount of the qualifying offer ($18MM), and has almost duplicated his 2019 form, which earned him a third-place finish in the AL MVP vote.

Even though Story is having a subpar year, there’s little question that the Rockies will extend him a qualifying offer after not dealing him before the trade deadline.

Regardless of whether or not Story want to return to Denver, he will receive a QO.

Because of forearm pain, Kershaw has spent the previous couple of months on the disabled list.

As long as he is healthy, he will be considered for a QO. Ray and Rodón were both forced to sign one-year contracts after having disappointing 2020 seasons, but they have both been among the greatest pitchers in the American League so far this season. Likely

  • Michael Conforto, Jon Gray, Yusei Kikuchi, Eduardo Rodrguez, Noah Syndergaard, Chris Taylor, and Justin Verlander are among the pitchers on the roster.

Taylor has quietly established himself as one of the game’s top 25 qualified hitters, as measured by wRC+, over the previous two seasons, and he is flexible enough to play every position on the diamond other than catcher. He isn’t a real every-day player at any one position, and he’s making contact at a career-low rate this season, so he falls just short of being a lock for a starting berth in the starting lineup. However, if Taylor were to accept, the Dodgers would be just as eager as any other club to pay a substantial one-year salary, and his body of work should be adequate to support a multi-year contract regardless of whether he accepts.

  • Conforto came into the season looking like a certainty for a QO and with a solid platform year, he appeared to have a shot of hitting nine figures.
  • His play has improved in recent weeks, and given his track record and age (28), Conforto still appears to be a solid candidate to secure a long-term contract.
  • The prospect of returning in September is a welcome comfort, considering the little amount of time he has left to build up arm strength, and his late-season form will undoubtedly be vital to his stock in the market.
  • In a similar vein, Justin Verlander has virtually missed two complete seasons as a result of his own Tommy John surgery.
  • Verlander taking a QO wouldn’t be the worst thing in the world for the Astros, who are a win-now team with a large payroll.
  • Colorado, according to reports, expressed even less interest in moving Gray than they did in trading Story before the deadline.
  • Rodrguezhas recovered from a frightening episode with myocarditis that forced him to miss the entire season in 2020 to play every fifth day this year.
  • As MLBTR’s Steve Adams reported earlier this month, the Mariners are confronted with a difficult dilemma regardingKikuchi.
  • If the Mariners do not activate their four-year option, Kikuchi will have a $13MM player option to return to Seattle in 2022 if they do not execute their four-year option.
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The Mariners would almost certainly offer Kikuchi a qualifying offer worth several million dollars more if the situation came to that — either with the expectation that he will decline in search of a longer-term deal, or in the hope that he will accept and Seattle will be able to retain him for the upcoming season without committing themselves to the additional three years of guaranteed money.

Kikuchi is a free agent after exercising his $13MM player option. Possible

  • Brandon Belt, Anthony DeSclafani, Ral Iglesias, and Charlie Morton are among the players to watch.

The Giants have a ton of cap room this summer and appear to be planning to keep the majority of their starting lineup from this season intact. On a per-minute basis, Belthas been one of the most prolific offensive players in the sport over the previous two seasons. Despite this, he’s 33 years old, has a long history of injuries, and is striking out at the highest rate in his professional career. After a difficult 2020 season with the Reds, San Francisco took advantage of a bargain-basement price to acquire DeSclafani during the offseason.

  • The Giants are expected to lose 4/5 of their starting rotation in free agency this winter, so they may be keen to re-sign DeSclafani, even if it means paying him a hefty price until 2022.
  • This is most likely owing to worries about his previous injury history as well as his age.
  • It’s possible that this may lead the Braves to pass on a QO, but Morton has consistently put up above-average performances, and the Braves’ front staff has shown a willingness to pay large one-year wages for crucial veteran additions in recent years.
  • After shifting to the bullpen, he has had an ERA below 3.00 for the sixth time in his six seasons there, and he has never posted a single-season SIERA greater than 3.55 in that time.
  • Longshots are those who take a chance on something that may or may not work out.
  • Mark Canha, Avisail Garca, Kwang-hyun Kim, Corey Kluber, Buster Posey, Adam Wainwright, and Alex Wood are among the players to watch.

In exchange for Posey’s services next season, the Giants have a $22 million club option (with a $3 million buyout) on his contract. If the front office is ready to commit a considerable amount of money to him, they will just exercise the option rather than going through the QO process with him. Indeed, it has been claimed that they want to do just that (or to potentially pursue a multi-year extension with the franchise icon). In any case, there isn’t a compelling reason to include the qualifying offer in this situation.

  • Despite being an above-average hitter and overall performance for the past three seasons, he is considered to be one of the game’s more underappreciated athletes.
  • Canha is a native of the Bay Area, and his age (he will be 33 in February) may limit the amount of time he will be able to accept offers from other teams.
  • The A’s, who have a reputation for having minimal payrolls and who will have a strong class of arbitration-eligible players this winter, do not appear to be willing to take that chance.
  • Louis on a part-time basis going forward.
  • He’d be justified in asking for a raise above that amount if he wants to return for another season, but it’s unclear whether the Cardinals would be willing to risk more than doubling Wainwright’s salary if they believe he’s motivated to stay in St.
  • After two seasons of injury-plagued play, Kluber signed a one-year, $11 million contract with the New York Yankees in the summer.
  • Kluber is on the verge of making his comeback to the field, but his absence of nearly three months only serves to exacerbate questions about his ability to manage a major workload at this juncture of his professional life.
  • Each player’s future is clouded by enough uncertainty that his or her organization does not appear particularly inclined to give a salary in the range of the qualifying offer.
  • As part of his deal with the Mets, Garca has a $12MM club option that turns in to a mutual option if he makes 492 plate appearances throughout the season.

If that option does not become exercisable, the Brewers would have no reason to refuse the option in order to make a qualifying offer at a higher price point in the future. Clauses Allowing You to Opt Out

Each of Arenado’s six-year, $179 million contract, Castellano’s two-year, $34 million contract, and Martinez’s one-year, $19.35 million contract has considerable guaranteed money remaining on it, but they have the option to opt out of those deals this winter. Due to the fact that they would be renouncing larger guarantees in order to test the market, Arenado and Castellanos are very certain to reject qualifying offers if they exercise their opt-out rights. Martinez’s player option has a value that is comparable to the predicted value of the qualifying offer, therefore he has a reasonable chance of exercising his option and then accepting a qualifying offer.


  • JavierBáez (midseason trade), Kris Bryant (midseason trade), Alex Cobb (previous QO), Nelson Cruz (previous QO/midseason trade), Danny Duffy (midseason trade), Eduardo Escobar (midseason trade), Kevin Gausman (previous QO), Kendall Graveman (midseason trade), Zack Greinke (previous QO), Kenley Jansen (previous QO), Starling Marte (midseason trade), Anthony Rizzo (midseason trade

Qualifying Offer Value Set At $18.9 Million

According to Evan Drellich of the Athletic, the qualifying offer for Major League Baseball will be set at $18.9 million this offseason. (via Twitter). The amount, which is calculated by taking the average of the salaries of the game’s top 125 earners, is a $1.1 million increase over the previous offseason’s record of $17.8 million. Any team seeking draft compensation for the loss of a free agent must first offer the free agent a one-year contract with a value of $18.9 million dollars before receiving draft compensation.

  • During that time, players will be allowed to speak with other clubs in order to determine their market value.
  • A free-agent signing, like any other, would be unable to be moved without his agreement before to June 15 of the following season, just like any other free-agent signing.
  • The 2017-21 Collective Bargaining Agreement also included the provision that players are only permitted to receive one qualifying offer during their entire professional career.
  • This also eliminates Braves outfielder Marcell Ozuna, who was designated by the Cardinals last year, and Dodgers third baseman Justin Turner, who was designated by the Cardinals in 2016.
  • This assured that the club would get draft compensation in the event that a player left, and that the player taking the QO would only be committed for a limited period of time, although at a disproportionately high rate.
  • When it comes to the 2018 free agency class, a few players stand out as apparent first-round picks despite the general economic uncertainties of the time.
  • Realmuto of the Philadelphia Phillies, Trevor Bauer of the Cincinnati Reds, George Springer of the Houston Astros, and DJ LeMahieu of the New York Yankees are all established players who are coming off successful seasons in their respective leagues.
  • The possible borderline examples, on the other hand, are more intriguing.
  • Because of the aforementioned income losses, as well as Semien’s disastrous truncated season, it looks that this is no longer a possibility.
  • Likewise, Angels shortstopAndrelton Simmons and Phillies infielder Didi Gregorius, among others, are on the disabled list.

As a reminder, the following are the criteria that must be completed by teams when signing or releasing qualifying free agents: With regard to teams who sign a qualified free agent.

  • In the event that a club got revenue sharing the previous season, that team will forfeit its third-highest selection the following season. A second qualifying player would result in the loss of that team’s fourth-highest draft pick if they were signed. It would be detrimental to a team’s draft position if it signed a third, as it would result in the loss of its fifth-highest selection
  • A team that did not receive revenue sharing and did not pay any luxury tax penalties would lose its second-highest selection, as well as $500K from the league’s allotted international bonus pool. In the event that a team signs additional qualified free agents, it will forfeit the third-highest selection in the 2019 draft and an additional $500K in international allotments. In the event that a team pays luxury tax penalties, it will forfeit both the second and fifth-highest selections in the 2019 draft, as well as $1MM in international funds. It would cost the team their third and sixth-highest draft choices, as well as an additional $1 million in international money, if they signed a second contract.

For teams who lose eligible free agents, there are a few options.

  • If the team that loses the free agent does not get revenue sharing or if the free player in issue signed a contract worth less than $50MM in guaranteed money, a draft selection will be granted following Competitive Balance Round B. if the team that loses the free agent got revenue sharing and the free agent in question signed for more than $50 million, a draft selection will be allocated after the first round
  • And It is possible to receive a draft selection after the fourth round if the team that lost the free agent has incurred luxury tax penalties the season before.

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