## Weighted On-base Average (wOBA)

It is a type of on-base percentage that takes into account how a player reached base, as opposed to only counting that the player made it to base in the first place. The value of each manner of reaching base is defined by how valuable that occurrence is in relation to the number of runs that are expected to score (example: a double is worth more than a single). According to the 2014 statistics: A home run was worth 2.101 times on base, while a walk was worth 0.69 times on base in the same year.

### The formula

In which “factor” denotes the adjusted run expectation of a batting event in the context of the season as a whole: (unintentional BB factor x unintentional BB + HBP factor x HBP + 1B factor x 1B + 2B factor x 2B + 3B factor x 3B + HR factor x HR)/(AB + SF + HBP).

##### Why it’s useful

The value of each technique of reaching base is assigned to each method of reaching base in terms of its influence on the number of runs scored, in contrast to the on-base percentage and OPS (OBP + SLG) metrics.

## wOBA

The Weighted On-Base Average (wOBA) is one of the most essential and often used offensive statistics, and it is also one of the most widely used defensive statistics. It was invented by Tom Tango (and famously utilized in the film “The Book”) to determine a hitter’s overall offensive worth by comparing the relative values of each different offensive event in his or her career. In its most basic form, wOBA is predicated on the idea that not all hits are created equal. The batting average is based on the assumption that they are.

- Slugging % is used to weight hits, however it is not always correct (for example, is a double worth twice as much as a single?).
- On-base plus slugging (OPS) is an effort to aggregate the many characteristics of hitting into a single measure, however it makes the assumption that one percentage point of SLG is the same as one percentage point of OBP, which is incorrect.
- In summary, OPS is asking the correct question, but we can arrive at a more precise answer fairly quickly.
- However, whereas batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage all fall short in terms of accuracy and breadth, wOBA is a more precise and complete way to evaluate and capture offensive performance.
- To compute wOBA, discover the weights for the year in which you are interested and multiply each weight by the player’s relevant statistics to arrive at the final result.
- Using the weighted average of each at bat, multiply the result by the amount of his at bats, walks (excluding intentional walks), hit by pitches, and sacrifice flies for the season, you get.423, which is his season wOBA (weighted on-base average).
- For the most part, OPS and wOBA will yield results that are relatively comparable to one another in most cases; but, if you are interested in understanding how effectively a player contributes to run scoring, wOBA is a more accurate reflection of that contribution.

Moreover, individuals do not frequently compute statistics by hand, and instead choose to make use of a spreadsheet if they enjoy doing it themselves, or to access such information from a website such as FanGraphs.

How to Make Use of wOBA: One of the most appealing aspects of wOBA is that, once you have mastered the fundamentals, it is quite simple to use.

While there are particular averages for the current season shown below, a normal average hitter will complete the season with a wOBA of around.320, according to Baseball Reference.

In other words, you can rapidly convert wOBA to a cumulative run value above average by multiplying it by the number of runs.

The wOBA for the league as well as the wOBA scale can be found on this page.

For example, Mike Trout had a.423 wOBA in 716 PA in 2013, while the league wOBA was.314 and the wOBA scale was 1.277.

((.423-.314)/1.277) *716 = 61.1 wRAAI (weighted average annual income).

OPS is unable to do such a straightforward conversion.

There are better ways to calculate exact amounts of anything than with this method, but if you’re searching for an approximate rule of thumb, this may be handy.

Because it is calculated on the same scale as on-base percentage, the league-average wOBA in a given year should be extremely close to the league-average on-base percentage.

Check out the FanGraphs leaderboards to discover what the league-average wOBA has been for every year from 1901 to the present. wOBA Guidelines for Success

Rating | wOBA |

Excellent | .400 |

Great | .370 |

Above Average | .340 |

Average | .320 |

Below Average | .310 |

Poor | .300 |

Awful | .290 |

Things to Keep in Mind: This statistic takes into consideration the following components of hitting: unintentional walks, hit-by-pitches, singles, doubles, triples, and home runs. Stolen-bases and caught stealing data were formerly provided on FanGraphs, but they are now accounted for with the statsUBRandwSB instead of separately. In this sense, wOBA simply takes into consideration a player’s performance at the bat. Using linear weights, it was possible to calculate exactly how much to weight each of the components of wOBA.

These are referred to as Weighted Runs Above the Average (wRAA).

It is not possible to modify the wOBA on FanGraphs for park effects, which means that batters who play in hitter-friendly environments will have somewhat inflated wOBAs.

## wOBA – Wikipedia

It is a statistic in baseball that is calculated using onlinear weights and is intended to assess a player’s total offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA (/’wob/) is an abbreviation for “weighted on-base average.” The run value of various offensive events is calculated by dividing the observed run values by the number of plates that a player has appeared in in order to obtain a percentage that is similar to that of on-base percentage. Unlike other statistics, such as OPS, wOBA makes an attempt to give the appropriate value for each type of hitting event that occurs.

## Usage

wOBA for all players in Major League Baseball was first listed on the sabermetricswebsiteFanGraphs in 2008, and it has continued to be updated thereafter. It serves as the foundation for the offensive component of the team’s wins above replacement (WAR) measurement. Sites like as The Hardball Timeshave investigated wOBA and discovered that it performs on par with or better than other related measures (OPS, RC, and so on) used in sabermetrics to estimate runs, such as the batting average. The Book has used the wOBA in a number of studies to examine the validity of several areas of baseball common knowledge, including the batting order.

Events such as home runs, walks, singles, and other similar activities are assigned their own weight (or coefficient) inside the linear equation.

The coefficients alter from season to season depending on how frequently each occurrence happens.

By looking at just the numerator side of the formula (shown below), we can get a rough approximation of how many runs a player contributes to his team’s total run total.

The team’s wOBA is also an excellent predictor of team runs scored, and departures from anticipated runs scored suggest a mix of situational hitting and baserunning.

## 2019 Formula

According to Fangraphs, the formula for wOBA for the 2019 season was as follows:where:

- NIBB is an abbreviation for non-intentional bases on balls. HBP stands for hit by pitch
- 1B stands for single
- 2B stands for double
- 3B stands for triple
- HR stands for home run.

- AB is for at bat
- BB stands for base on balls
- IBB stands for intentional base on balls
- SF stands for sacrifice fly
- HBP stands for hit by pitch.

## 2018 Formula

The following was the formula for the 2018 season:

- NIBB is an abbreviation for non-intentional bases on balls. HBP stands for hit by pitch
- 1B stands for single
- 2B stands for double
- 3B stands for triple
- HR stands for home run.

- AB is for at bat
- BB stands for base on balls
- IBB stands for intentional base on balls
- SF stands for sacrifice fly
- HBP stands for hit by pitch.

## Ranges for elite, very good, etc.

The following table provides a consolidated summary of the numerous wOBA scales that are available on the internet.

wOBA ScaleClassification | Range |
---|---|

Elite | .400 and Above |

Very Good | .371 to.399 |

Good | .321 to.370 |

Average | .320 |

Bad | .291 to.320 |

Very Bad | .290 and below |

## Original Formula

The following formula was found in The Book, and it is as follows:

- NIBB stands for “non-intentional bases on balls.” The terms HBP and RBOE stand for hit by pitch and reached base on error, respectively. The terms HR and PA stand for plate appearance. HBP stands for hit by pitch and RBOE stands for reached base on error.

## Citations

- Tom Tango, Mitchel Lichtman, and Andrew Dolphin are three of the most talented musicians in the world. Playing the Percentages in Baseball is the title of the book. Potomac Books, Washington, D.C., 2007, ISBN 1-59797-129-4
- Washington, D.C.: Potomac Books, 2007.

## What is wOBA in Baseball – What is the Calculation?

In today’s game, determining the worth of a baseball player to his or her club and organization is crucial. With advanced data, teams, scouts, and managers can assess existing and prospective players and estimate what they can provide to a baseball club in the future. One advanced number that is becoming increasingly common in daily talks in the game is wOBA (weighted average batted ball). So, what exactly is wOBA, how does one calculate it, what constitutes a decent benchmark, and so on. Find out the answers to these questions in this post!

## What Does wOBA in Baseball Mean?

In Major League and Minor League baseball, the term “weighted on-base average” (WOBA) refers to the average of runs scored on base. This formula takes into account how far a player advances on the baseball field via a plate appearance, as opposed to calculating getting on base as the same no matter whatever base a player is on. To provide an example, getting on second base via a double during an at-bat will be considered more important than getting on first base by a single in the same at-bat.

Being on second base, as opposed to first base, boosts a team’s chances of scoring runs by increasing the number of runners on base.

## How Do You Calculate the Formula?

In the case of a single, 1.25* for a double, 1.6* for a triple, and 2* for a home run, the total plate appearances equals woBA (walks + hit by pitch + intentional walks). When you go to other websites, the method may seem a little different, but I appreciate how FanGraphs lays it down. Note that you may adjust the percentages to your liking if you want walks and singles to have the same value, for instance. If you feel anything deserves more weight than something else, you may slightly alter the numbers in the calculation, just like you would with any other baseball formula.

## Example of the Formula

Imagine that you have a baseball player that has 400 at-bats throughout a normal season. They had 45 walks, 35 singles, 30 doubles, one triple, and 15 home runs in their game against the Cardinals. In layman’s words, here’s a simplified explanation of the formula. The number of walks is 45 *.7 = 31.5, while the number of singles is 35 *.9 = 31. The sum of 5doubles is 30*1.25 = 37. 5Triples: = 1*1.6 = 1.6 x 5Triples: = 1*1.6 = 1.6 x 5Triples: = 1*1.6 = 1.6 x 5Triples: = 1*1.6 = 1.6 x 5Triples: = 1*1.6 = 1.6 x 5Triples: = 1*1.6 = 1.6 x 5Triples: = 1*1.6 = 1.6 x 5Triples: = 1*1.6 = 1.6 x 5 15*2 = 30 home runs in a season The total is 132.1, and the formula is 132.1 / 400 =.330 wOBA.

## What is a Good Player’s wOBA

wOBA was.320 on average in the Major Leagues in 2019, according to Baseball Savant. Christian Yellich had a wOBA of.442 in 2019, Mike Trout had a wOBA of.436 in 2019, and Yordan Alvarez had a wOBA of.432 in 2019, rounding out the top three players. wOBA stat lines may be broken down into several categories, as shown in the following table.

- Great:.400 and above
- Good:.371 to.399
- Average:.320 to 3.70
- Bad:.290 to.319
- Terrible:Below 289
- Excellent:.400 and above
- Excellent:.371 to.399
- Excellent:.400 and

In the formula above, our fictitious player had a wOBA of.330 and a wOBA of.330. A decent wOBA for a baseball player places the player in the middle of the pack, according to this statistic.

## Who Created the Formula?

Tom Tango is the author of The Book: Playing the Percentages in Baseball, which contains this advanced statistic.

## How is wOBA Different from OBP?

The on-base percentage (OBP) is calculated by dividing the number of plate appearances you have by the number of times you get on base. Being on second base is equivalent to being on first base, which indicates that both are valuable. Errors, bunts, and the fielder’s choice are some of the factors that are not included in the on-base percentage. The wOBA, on the other hand, assigns a monetary value to a Major League Baseball hitter’s success in reaching a designated base on the diamond from his or her first at-bat.

A wOBA statistic is akin to advanced baseball measures such as baseball OPS and baseball WAR (Wins Above Replacement), which go above and beyond a standard and clear baseball formula to provide additional information.

## How is wOBA Different from XwOBA?

wOBA is an extension of OBP, whereas XwOBA is an extension of the former. Expected Weighted On-base Average (XwOBA) is an acronym that stands for Expected Weighted On-base Average. Exit velocity, sprint speed to a base, and launch angle are all taken into account when determining whether or not a player should get on base. A player, for example, can hit a ball off the bat at 110 miles per hour. However, as a result of their defensive shift, the ball lands in the glove of the third baseman. With the XwOBA method, a team might theoretically award credit to a player who hit into terrible luck, but in practice, the player should be on base as a result of the quality of their hit in general.

## Why wOBA Makes Sense to Consider as a Stat

Advanced metrics, which incorporate weighting considerations into the algorithm, provide further insight into the total offensive worth of a baseball player. For example, from 2001 to 2004, Barry Bonds had four straight seasons with a wOBA of over.500 from 2001 to 2004. A combination of walks and home runs contributed to Bonds’ over.500 season wOBA during that season. Considering that the league average for wOBA was in the 300s at the time, Barry Bonds was one of the greatest players in the game when it came to getting on base.

## Conclusion

Summary: When players reach base after an at-bat, they provide their club with the potential run value measure known as walk-off base average (wOBA). The formula is based on the usual on-base percentage calculation, except it adds more value when a double is hit rather than when a single is hit. One interesting aspect of wOBA is that it can be extended with XwOBA, which is what clubs are using to anticipate the many ways in which an offensive player might contribute to a team’s success. As a result, it is best to combine wOBA with other baseball statistics such as SLG percentage (slugging percentage) and baseball WAR in order to determine a player’s overall contribution to his or her club.

When you go beyond basic statistics like batting average, you may unearth players who can score and drive in runs who you might not otherwise notice due to their lack of name recognition.

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## MLB Advanced Stats: What is wOBA?

Photograph courtesy of Tom Pennington/Getty Images Freddie Freeman is depicted in this photograph.

## wOBA Definition

WOBA (Weighted On-base Average) is a statistic that is similar to on-base percentage, except that it takes into account how a player gets on base rather than whether or not he gets on base in the first place. The value assigned to each event is directly proportional to the expected number of runs scored from that event. When computing wOBA, a triple, for example, would be worth more than a double in most cases. Essentially, the aim of the statistic is to determine the batter’s total offensive worth.

## Differences Between wOBA and Other Stats

Instead of taking into account the fact that not all hits are equal in value, wOBA takes into consideration the fact that not all hits are equal in value. Similarly, on-base plus slugging evaluates a player’s offensive worth based on his or her on-base and slugging percentages, although these statistics have no relationship to the anticipated run value of an on-field event as does batting average. The wOBA is a more accurate and comprehensive method of evaluating a batter’s value in the box than other methods.

## wOBA in Sports Betting

A team’s wOBA can be useful in determining whether or not they are making the most of their opportunities at the bat from a betting viewpoint. It can also be used to track the hot hand in a lineup. Juan Soto had the highest wOBA score in 2020, with 478 points. Freddie Freeman, the National League MVP, finished second with a.456 batting average. The predicted wOBA of an average MLB player is.320, so keep that in mind when scouting projected starting lineups for your favorite team. The wOBA is used in our Sean Zerillo’s model and projections for betting on Major League Baseball games, which you can learn more about by clicking here.

## An Idiot’s Guide to Advanced Statistics: wOBA and wRC+

Distance makes the heart grow fonder, so while it has been a while since the previous edition of our award-eligible series on advanced analytics in baseball, an idiom suggests that everyone is just as thrilled to see me back on the field this time. For those of you who stopped by during the offseason, we’ve been working on a quick summary of some key sabermetric statistics that we use regularly here at Lookout Landing, with the goal of ensuring that our whole community is on the same page about what we’re doing.

Today, we’re back on the saddle with the third installment of the series, and this time it’s all about the attack.

To do this, we’ll have to work our way backwards and disassemble the simplerWeighted On-Base Average (wOBA), which is essential to the wRC+ calculation.

For the record, if you are already an expert in the field of sabermetrics, you will most likely be familiar with the concepts discussed.

Any queries or opportunities to assist inquiring neophytes in expanding their depth of knowledge are welcome; please participate in a helpful manner. Thank you for your time and consideration. Let’s get down to business.

### Weighted On-Base Average (wOBA)

Both wOBA and wRC+ are attempts to demonstrate a hitter’s total production in a comprehensive manner. The underlying premise of each is that, while the classic “Triple Slash” display of Batting Average/On-Base Percentage/Slugging Percentage is important, it lacks in depth when it comes to individual players. Why should we place so much faith in batting average when it values a bloop single at the same level as an upper deck home run? Why utilize slugging percentage, which is merely the sum of total bases divided by the number of at-bats and so diminishes the worth of less strong players, when we can integrate all offensive productivity into meaningful, easily understandable statistics?

- On-Base Plus Slugging (OPS), or On-Base plus Slugging, has been the closest traditional statistics have gotten to demonstrating this for a long time.
- Allow me to draw your attention to an equation for a little moment: Folks, we’re talking about nothing more than elementary mathematics.
- A double is worth twice as much as a single, although the wOBA is a little more moderate in its treatment of doubles.
- While they are not nearly as valuable as singles, they are still highly valued.
- Another approach to look at the importance of wOBA and wRC+ is to evaluate the shortcomings in the traditional method of evaluating a player based on his or her batting average.
- Their OPS, on the other hand, rewards Tulo for his ability to earn walks at any time and for his proclivity for extra-base hits, which includes 24 home runs to Marte’s one.

2016 | Batting Average | OPS | wOBA | wRC+ |
---|---|---|---|---|

2016 | Batting Average | OPS | wOBA | wRC+ |

Ketel Marte | 0.259 | 0.61 | 0.266 | 66 |

Troy Tulowitzki | 0.254 | 0.761 | 0.327 | 102 |

Tulowitzki has a better OPS, wOBA, and wRC+ than he does, but those metrics are worthless without a scale to compare them to. In the event that your eyes glazed over when that equation appeared earlier, the only thing you need from this entire essay is a scale to get a feel of what others are talking about when certain metrics are mentioned. The league average swings from year to year, and may be followed here, despite the fact that this scale is only a guess. I’ll take another cue from Fangraphs this time: It is measured on the same scale as OBP, approximatelyFangraphs.

She was on the verge of passing out on the spot. However, now that you know for certain that you were eating horse, how about a scoop of sorbet to clear your palate? I can’t image anybody else requiring a metric other than their eyes to see the pain that wasKetel Marte with a bat last year.

2016 | Batting Average | OPS | wOBA | wRC+ |
---|---|---|---|---|

2016 | Batting Average | OPS | wOBA | wRC+ |

Ketel Marte | 0.259 | 0.61 | 0.266 | 66 |

Troy Tulowitzki | 0.254 | 0.761 | 0.327 | 102 |

Jean Segura | 0.353 | 0.867 | 0.371 | 126 |

2017 should be a good year. While wOBA has several restrictions, they are a necessary trade-off for its relative simplicity. Someone who steals a large number of bases without being caught on a regular basis is like hitting two doubles instead of one single, which may cause them to be underappreciated significantly. A second limitation is that it does not account for position, thus an average wOBA of around.304 might be fine for a shortstop but would be much below average for a first baseman.

You’re saying it was Adam Lind’s wOBA for the previous year?

wOBA also has a significant disadvantage in that it does not take into consideration the setting in which the game was played.

Additional tweaking is required to account for the differences in offensive conditions between the National League and the American League, as well as from season to season and from year to year.

### Weighted Runs Created Plus (wRC+)

Weighted Runs Created (wRC) is a measure that relies on a little more arithmetic, but it doesn’t take much more than what we’ve previously covered in this section to figure out how to calculate. The wRC is a ratecounting statistic, similar to RBI or WAR, that accumulates over the course of a season in baseball. The results of this analysis, while valuable, can be less beneficial when a player is injured and misses time throughout the course of the season. For this and a few other reasons, we prefer wRC+wRC+, which appears to be a bit more complicated on the surface but is, at its core, a straightforward calculation: take a player’s wOBA and add it to what a league-average player would be expected to generate per plate appearance, combine that with constants that have been ascribed to the different parks the player has performed in, and divide that result by the average wRC/PA in the American League or National League When you finish, you’ll get a small little number, usually ranging from 0-2, which will be multiplied by a factor of 100.

This is useful to know and understand, but it is not required in order to properly comprehend and use wRC+ in a productive manner.

Every digit greater or lower than 100 represents a percentage point better or worse than the national average in that category.

In the same way that wOBA does not compensate for position, wRC+ does not, either, therefore he was only 28 percent lower than the league average shortstop, who had a wRC+ of 92.

The beauty of wRC+ is that it can be used for comparisons of any kind, which makes it extremely versatile. You’re interested in seeing how Nelson Cruzfares in a matchup against Edgar Martinez at the same age?

At age 35 | Batting Average | OPS | wOBA | wRC+ |
---|---|---|---|---|

At age 35 | Batting Average | OPS | wOBA | wRC+ |

2016 Nelson Cruz | 0.287 | 0.915 | 0.383 | 147 |

1998 Edgar Martinez | 0.322 | 0.993 | 0.425 | 156 |

Edgar benefitted from the aggressive playground of the Kingdome, which is why WOBA would not share the entire tale about him. wRC+ has you covered in a dependable manner. Despite the fact that Edgar was still excellent, Nellie was more more impressive while playing in Safeco Field because he did it at a time when the league, on average, had significantly less offense than it did during the hot-hitting 1990s. It is crucial to remember that, like WAR, wOBA and wRC+ do not provide us with a great deal of information about projection.

You can learn more about how things happened if you go deeper into the guts of each, but they are not any more predictive than other statistics; they are simply more detailed in their description of the past than other statistics.

You’re prepared to evaluate some heavy hitters.

## What is wOBA?

WOBA is an acronym that stands for Weighted On-Base Average. Tom Tango, a prominent person in the baseball statistics world, is credited with the introduction of this statistic, which has swiftly become one of the most important offensive measures in the game. Not only is this statistic used to indicate batter performance on its own, but it is also employed in the computation of other statistics, such as the wRC (win rate per cent). So much of what has occurred in baseball statistics over the previous decade or two has been attributed to the failure to appropriately recognize players for their accomplishments on the field.

- Consider the batting average, which is a basic statistic that we are all familiar with: batting average.
- Simple and straightforward, it rapidly illustrates the frequency with which a player receives a hit.
- Because no two hits have the same monetary value on the field, dividing them evenly does not accurately represent the value that each batter brings to the table.
- Example: Dee Gordon hit.308 for the Miami Marlins in 2017, whereas Freddie Freeman hit.307 for the Atlanta Braves the same year.
- In practice, however, this is not the case.
- It becomes readily apparent that Freddie Freeman was the far more useful batter when the exact sorts of hits are taken into consideration.
- It is feasible to acquire a more accurate sense of which batters are making the most significant contributions to their teams by accurately valuing the results of at-bats.

We’ll get into the specifics of how those figures were generated in a moment, but the disparity between their two performances is now readily apparent as a result of the way this statistic was constructed.

And, to a certain extent, you’d be correct.

In the first place, the weights are linear, which does not accurately reflect the real worth of each sort of hit (a home run is not four times more valuable than a single, yet slugging percentage is computed in this manner).

In part, this is because the wOBA employs a weighting method that ensures hitters are fairly recognized for their efforts.

An at-run bat’s value is the monetary worth, represented in runs, that the batter contributes or subtracts.

These values fluctuate significantly from year to year depending on the run situation, but you can obtain the most up-to-date figures at FanGraphs.com.

As an example, here is how the equation appears for the 2018 season: wOBA =.69 x uBB +.719 x HBP +.874 x 1B + 1.232 x 2B + 1.554 x 3B + 1.986 x HR / AB + BB – IBB + SF + HBP wOBA =.69 x uBB +.719 x HBP wOBA =.69 x uBB +.719 x HBP wOBA =.69

- UBB = Unintentional Walk
- HBP = Hit By Pitch
- 1B = Single
- 2B = Double
- 3B = Triple
- HR = Home Run
- AB = At-bat
- BB = Walk
- IBB = Intentional Walk
- SF = Sacrifice Fly
- SF = Sacrifice

Each sort of result is multiplied by the run value associated with it, and the sum of these totals is combined together. This total is then divided by the total number of at-bats, walks (excluding deliberate walks), sacrifice flies, and pitches hit by pitch to arrive at a final total. When this computation is completed, the outcome will be a rate that indicates the player’s overall batting average for the season. Generally speaking, a wOBA of over.400 indicates exceptional performance, and anything above.350 indicates that a batter is among the best 50 hitters in the major leagues.

## All-Time wOBA Leaders (1900-2018)

Player | Season | wOBA |

Babe Ruth | 1920 | .598 |

Babe Ruth | 1921 | .575 |

Babe Ruth | 1923 | .571 |

Ted Williams | 1941 | .568 |

Babe Ruth | 1926 | .551 |

Babe Ruth | 1924 | .549 |

Babe Ruth | 1927 | .545 |

Barry Bonds | 2002 | .544 |

Rogers Hornsby | 1925 | .540 |

Lou Gehrig | 1927 | .540 |

## 2018 wOBA Leaders

Player | wOBA |

Mookie Betts | .449 |

Mike Trout | .447 |

J.D. Martinez | .427 |

Christian Yelich | .422 |

Alex Bregman | .396 |

Jose Ramirez | .391 |

Nolan Arenado | .391 |

Paul Goldschmidt | .390 |

Brandon Nimmo | .385 |

Trevor Story | .384 |

Only a number of small downsides should be mentioned in relation to wOBA, and they are as follows: First and foremost, the statistic solely considers what a hitter performs at the plate, which means that stolen bases are not taken into consideration. So, returning to the earlier example, Dee Gordon would see an increase in his overall offensive production when stolen bases are taken into consideration, as he is one of the quickest players in baseball. Stolen bases, on the other hand, are not included in the wOBA since it is intended to quantify just performance at the plate.

If a player is fortunate enough to live in a hitter-friendly area, his wOBA will almost certainly be higher than that of identical batters who play in pitcher-friendly environments.

## Advanced baseball stats: OPS+, wOBA, wRC, and wRC+

Let’s take a dive into the deep end of the pool now that we’ve all mastered the fundamentals of batting statistics. Batting average was found to be too limited and basic a metric, and baseball statisticians are constantly on the lookout for the proper numbers to illustrate a batter’s value. When we looked at batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage in our batting primer, we found that they were all high. With this explanation, we’ll move on to the more in-depth batting numbers that seek to provide us with the greatest possible picture of batter value: wOBA, wRC, wRC+, and OPS+, which we briefly covered in the overview article but which we’ll go into more detail about in this piece.

On our way out, we’ll highlight a new measure called DRC+, which was developed only last year by the people at Baseball Prospectus.

#### Adjusted on-base plus slugging (OPS+)

Because we discussed OPS+ in detail in the batting stats fundamentals post, I won’t go into detail about it in this article. OPS+ analyzes a player’s overall point total and adjusts it for external factors like as the parks in which the game was played (as some are more hitter friendly than others). The player’s OPS+ is then translated to a scale, with 100 being the league average and the number after it representing the percentage of the league average that the player is better than.

For example, Castellanos had an OPS+ of 130 in 2018, which indicates that he performed 30 percent higher than the league average. A score of 100 is obtained by multiplying the OPS by the league OPS, which has been adjusted for park variables, and dividing the result by 100.

#### Weighted on-base average (wOBA)

Intriguing figure that measures a player’s offensive contributions per plate appearance, the Walk-On Base Average (WOBA) is calculated. Much like slugging % gives a unique value to extra base hits, wOBA gives a unique value to how an individual hitter gets on base, with greater values being assigned to certain events such as home runs and doubles, for example, The most straightforward way to think of wOBA is as a mix of OBP and SLG, but one that gives additional numerical weight to occurrences like as walks and hit by pitches, whereas OBP merely takes into account whether or not a player reached base.

It’s a somewhat more refined metric that continues to place a premium on what are regarded more difficult plays or plays with greater value in terms of points scored (ie: intentional walks are subtracted from overall walks).

NIBBs (not intentionally taken) are the least valuable, while home runs are the most valuable, as you can see in the table above.

With a wOBA of.363, Nicholas Castellanos had the best wOBA for the Tigers in 2018.

#### Weighted runs created (wRC) and Weighted runs created plus (wRC+)

It is recommended that you learn how to read only one of these two statistics, and that statistic should be wRC+. This statistic is quickly becoming a standard number in sports reporting, and it is used with such regularity that you will want to be able to recognize its value at a glance. However, in order to comprehend wRC+ (remember, the plus sign shows that park variables have been taken into consideration), we must first comprehend wRC. In baseball, weighted runs created (wRC) is a statistic that aims to reflect a player’s offensive worth by quantifying it in terms of runs generated.

- As a matter of fact, the statistics for wRC are computed using the notions advocated by wOBA, which should be expected given how strongly it draws from them.
- FanGraphs provided the data.
- Adding park characteristics throughout the league, as we have already seen with OPS+ and ERA+, helps us to arrive at a more ideal and balanced figure to reflect success.
- Additionally, we get at weighted runs created (wRC+) by modifying runs created (wRC) to account for park effects, which provides us with what many believe to be the most thorough and full assessment of a player’s genuine offensive worth available.
- We’ve also taken into account league-average wOBA and league park variables, resulting in the optimal mix of BA, OBP, SLG, OPS+, and wOBA for each team.

Consider that just one player on the Tigers’ roster had a WRC+ greater than 100 in 2018, and that player wasNicholas Castellanos, who had a 130, which meant he was 30 percent better than the league average.

#### Deserved runs created plus (DRC+)

While deserved runs created plus (DRC+) and earned runs above average (wOBA) may be enough to make you feel overwhelmed, there’s another number that was introduced by Baseball Prospectus in 2018 that intends to be the most important hitting statistic in the future. It remains to be seen whether or not it will replace wRC+ as the all-encompassing ideal hitting metric, but it is necessary to include it in this list. DRC+ is evaluated on a 100-point scale, with 100 indicating league average, much as the other plus metrics.

- In contrast to wOBA, which provides a monetary value to all occurrences that result in a runner on base, DRC+ takes into consideration strikeouts, batters hitting into double plays, and other factors.
- The total of all of these results is calculated as DRC, which is then multiplied by the league average to arrive at the 100-point scale.
- Nicholas Castellanos, our primary example for this essay, had a DRC+ of 116 in the 2018 season, which took into account factors such as his 151 strikeouts (7th in the AL) and 21 double plays grounded into (8th in the AL), which certainly took some of the luster off his 130 wRC+.
- Niko Goodrum’s season may be given a renewed respect as a result of this.

## DFS Baseball 101: How to Use wOBA

A portion of this material is included in ourDFS Baseball 101series. Long before the invention of the Internet, the backs of baseball cards served as our primary source of information on individual players. This was especially true for those of us with a little more “life experience” under our belts. We were certain that we would locate what we believed to be the end-all, be-all compilation of statistics that would provide us with a comprehensive picture of that player’s performance, or lack thereof, from year to year throughout his career.

Everybody knows how far we’ve gone from the days of what are now virtually called “primitive” measurements, and many modern-day fans, commentators, and daily fantasy players would scoff at the concept of just looking at seasonal data to discern much of anything about any individual player in today’s world.

- The result is that some of our old standby measuring tools for baseball performance-such as batting average-have been reduced to the status of proverbial antiques collecting dust in the corner.
- On-Base Average with a Weighted Coefficient of Variation (wOBA) How wOBAO Works and What It Isn’t As a novice MLB Daily Fantasy Sports participant, one of the simplest things to do is become confused by the plethora of unfamiliar lingo and acronyms that appear to be frequently thrown about.
- Simply described, walk-off batting average (wOBA) is a statistic that is intended to eliminate many of the inconsistencies that exist in traditional batting average.
- To be sure, there was a moment in baseball analytics when we felt that batting average was a perfectly adequate measure of performance.
- While making these broad assumptions may have been right in a roundabout sense on many occasions, we were never aware of the specific elements that went into generating that three-digit result.
- 305 average consisted mostly of singles and walks, or was there a decent amount of doubles and home runs thrown in for good measure?
- As a result, just as doubles, triples, and home runs become increasingly important in a real baseball game, they gain increasing importance in determining a hitter’s wOBA as well.

As we already know in terms of daily fantasy sports scoring, the more significant the contact, the greater the number of fantasy points earned.

wOBA information is readily available on a wide range of DFS analytics and research platforms, and is simply packed into a single clean, three-digit number, which may cause unpleasant memories for some students who took rigorous algebra or calculus classes in their undergraduate years.

We can use wOBA to influence our judgments on both pitchers and hitters, both in terms of who to target and who to avoid, in a variety of ways.

When a player qualifies as a league average wOBA, it fluctuates from season to season, and the specific weight utilized for each hitting event in the wOBA algorithm varies from season to season as well.

Without getting too complicated, Fangraphs has put up a table entitled “wOBA Rules of Thumb” that serves as a very useful reference for the different wOBA standards in any particular season.

Using the statistics contained in that matrix, one can see, for example, that anyone with a wOBA of at least.340 is having an above-average season at the plate in the majority of seasons.

The second result, as you can see, is a long cry from what would have been regarded acceptable in the domain of traditional batting average, and as such necessitates a paradigm change in thinking about it.

In any case, like with any measure, it’s smart to go below the surface level because each day in MLB DFS may be very different, especially when considering matches.

Using wOBA splits for both the batter and the pitcher, you can frequently discover exploitable matchups as well as “stay-away” situations for the hitter or pitcher in question.

Consequently, the significant wOBA difference between a lefty batter’s performance against righties and that of a lefty batter’s performance against pitchers who match his handedness can be one of the most important factors in determining whether or not to include that player in your lineup on that particular day.

- As an illustration, we’ll look at the history of Texas Rangers left-handed veteran sluggerMitch Moreland, who, as one might expect, has dominated right-handed pitching throughout his career.
- As we learned in our previous discussion of how wOBA assigns a weight to each hitting event based on its relative worth within the real field of play, Moreland’s wOBA is extremely likely to be comprised of the types of significant hits that would be beneficial to your fantasy point total.
- When we take a look at his career versus left-handed pitching, we find a considerably less remarkable CV, which is not surprising.
- Therefore, on the extremely few occasions that Moreland is in the lineup against a left-handed starter, we can simply avoid putting him in our daily fantasy baseball lineup in favor of alternative candidates who have far better matchups against the opposing pitcher.
- It is possible to use wOBANaturally to either support or exclude a pitcher while creating a daily fantasy baseball lineup by using the wOBANaturally algorithm.

Over the course of five-plus major league seasons, Braves right-hander Julio Teheranhas demonstrated a particular weakness against left-handed hitters, surrendering a robust.350 wOBA to left-handed batters over a 1,367-batter sample, as well as 60 doubles, ten triples, and fifty home runs during that span.

What does Teheran’s example teach us about ourselves?

In contrast, if we want to consider him against a primarily right-handed lineup in a situation that also has some other favorable factors, such as a pitcher-friendly ballpark like Teheran’s home stadium of Turner Field, then depending on your salary and the type of DFS contest you’re participating in, he could be a wise choice.

The validity of a hitter’s wOBA naturally grows with the size of the sample, and like with any other type of statistics, we may easily be deceived if we don’t put in the effort to do our homework before making a judgment.

We also want to examine year-by-year breakdowns of plate appearances and innings when assessing pitchers, in addition to making certain that we’re analyzing a sufficient number of plate appearances and innings when evaluating pitchers.

Generally speaking, Cain has been a reliable big league pitcher, putting together a string of four straight seasons with at least ten wins between 2009 and 2012.

290 wOBA against right-handed batters.

His wOBA has steadily increased since then, with figures of.307,.310, and.357 over the next three seasons, respectively, according to his season-by-season wOBA breakdown.

Despite recent outlier figures derived from a very small sample size, a three-season history of gradually declining success vs that handedness of batter, along with his arm being a year older, would appear to hint to an eventual regression in that circumstance.

As previously stated, wOBA is a versatile and helpful tool for determining a hitter’s potential upside in a daily fantasy baseball lineup, and it may be used to do so.

Use of this tool in conjunction with other supporting analysis—while taking factors such as sample size into consideration—can unquestionably serve as a critical component of your daily fantasy baseball research.

It is likely that, when participating in these games using their own accounts, they will deploy players in their lineups or employ other techniques that differ from those recommended in the preceding section.

Juan Carlos Blanco participates in daily fantasy sports competitions using the following user names and passwords: DraftKings: jcblanco22, FanDuel: jc blanco22, DraftPot: jc blanco22, FantasyDraft: jc blanco22, OwnThePlay: jcblanco22 are all usernames for jcblanco22.